MLB · Thu, May 21, 2026
New York Mets at Washington Nationals
Final score: New York Mets 2 – 1 Washington Nationals. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.95 | +13.4% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.93 | +5.1% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.48 | +14.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.83 | +12.7% | 9 | WIN |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +10.3% | 1 | WIN |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.56 | +1.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.59 | +1.5% | 2 | WIN |
| David Peterson | New York Mets | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.79 | +0.2% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or New York Metsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Jun 11, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets | 5 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Jun 10, 2026 | Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Tue, Jun 9, 2026 | Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Tue, Jun 9, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets | 4 | 100.0% | View → |
| Sun, Jun 7, 2026 | New York Mets at San Diego Padres | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
| Sun, Jun 7, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 25.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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