MLB · Wed, Jun 10, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: Boston Red Sox 5 – 7 Tampa Bay Rays. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 2.02 | +4.8% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.29 | +2.8% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Bennett | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.39 | +82.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.55 | +78.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.82 | +42.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Ryan Vilade | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.98 | +28.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Austin Slater | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.28 | +4.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.30 | +2.8% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Jun 9, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays | 2 | 0.0% | View → |
| Mon, Jun 8, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays | 2 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sat, Jun 6, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Fri, Jun 5, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees | 2 | 50.0% | View → |
| Fri, Jun 5, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Thu, Jun 4, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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