MLB · Sat, May 16, 2026
Miami Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: Miami Marlins 10 – 5 Tampa Bay Rays. 3 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.88 | +4.4% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.19 | +18.0% | 6 | WIN |
| Nick Martinez | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.10 | +5.6% | 4 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or Miami Marlinsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Jun 11, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins | 7 | 0.0% | View → |
| Wed, Jun 10, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays | 8 | 62.5% | View → |
| Tue, Jun 9, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays | 2 | 0.0% | View → |
| Tue, Jun 9, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins | 3 | 66.7% | View → |
| Mon, Jun 8, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays | 2 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sat, Jun 6, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.