MLB · Sat, May 30, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: Boston Red Sox 9 – 1 Cleveland Guardians. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.76 | +2.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.57 | +48.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.43 | +48.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.02 | +36.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.90 | +26.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.89 | +19.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Sonny Gray | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.61 | +10.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.61 | +4.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.63 | +3.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.68 | +1.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Parker Messick | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.65 | +0.0% | 4 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cleveland Guardians or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Jun 10, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays | 8 | 62.5% | View → |
| Wed, Jun 10, 2026 | New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Tue, Jun 9, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays | 2 | 0.0% | View → |
| Mon, Jun 8, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays | 2 | 50.0% | View → |
| Mon, Jun 8, 2026 | New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sun, Jun 7, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Texas Rangers | 6 | 16.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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